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Energy costs and El-Nino could slow growth and lift inflation, warns HSBC’s Pranjul Bhandari
Pranjul Bhandari, Chief India Economist at HSBC, says economic growth has remained resilient so far, supported by strong manufacturing activity and inventory build-up. However, she expects the impact of higher energy prices and a potential El Niño-driven weather shock to become more visible in growth and inflation data from the July-September quarter of 2026 (Q2FY27). Bhandari also believes RBI measures could attract significant capital inflows, improve banking system liquidity and provide support to the formal economy.
Rupee rises 39 paise against US dollar as crude oil prices ease
Indian rupee opens 39 paise stronger against US dollar as crude oil prices fall on renewed US Iran deal hopes, easing energy cost concerns.
Dollar index renews momentum; US PPI data awaited
The dollar index is edging closer to 100 on Thursday, lingering near its highest levels in two months amid fresh US attacks over Iran and as US consumer inflation accelerated in May to its fastest pace in more than three years due to soaring energy costs. May US inflation accelerated at its fastest pace in over three years due to surging energy costs, though the data matched expectations. Market focus now turns to the upcoming release of May's Producer Price Index (PPI) and Initial Jobless Claims. The yield on the US 10-year Treasury note steadied around 4.55% on Thursday awaiting fresh US economic data for further clues on the Federal Reserves policy outlook.
INR extends downside as dollar firms and oil renews surge
The Indian rupee slipped back against the dollar in opening trades on Thursday as dollar index renewed gains and crude oil prices took flight. The dollar index traded around 100 on Thursday, lingering near its highest levels in two months amid fresh US attacks over Iran and as US consumer inflation accelerated in May to its fastest pace in more than three years due to soaring energy costs. INR opened at Rs 95.55 per dollar and slipped further to a low of 95.64 so far during the day. Yesterday, rupee was largely flat and settled almost unchanged at Rs 95.25 per dollar. Rupee pared its initial losses as crude oil prices and the US dollar index retreated from their elevated levels. Local equities are likely to open on a cautious note on Thursday as concerns mounted about a re-escalation of the Middle East conflict and a stronger U.S. inflation print reinforced expectations that borrowing costs would remain higher for longer. On Wednesday, Indian shares gave up early gains to end little .
Power finance cos turn to global markets for cheaper funds
Indian power and renewable energy firms are looking abroad for loans. The Reserve Bank of India's new dollar-rupee swap facility has made foreign currency borrowing cheaper. Companies like REC and PFC are planning to raise significant funds through external commercial borrowings. This move is expected to lower borrowing costs for these public sector undertakings.
INR pares initial losses and settles largely unchanged
The Indian rupee was largely flat and settled almost unchanged at Rs 95.43 per dollar, down just 2 paise on Wednesday, amid likely intervention from the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to curb excessive volatility and prevent a further slide in the domestic unit. Rupee pared its initial losses as crude oil prices and the US dollar index retreated from their elevated levels. Indian shares gave up early gains to end little changed on Wednesday as investors weighed rising U.S.-Iran tensions and awaited key U.S. inflation data later in the day for fresh insights into market expectations for future interest rates in the face of rising energy-driven inflation risks. The BSE Sensex ended the day at 73,983.18, up by 64.42 points (0.09%), while the NSE Nifty 50 settled at 23,214.95, slipping by 27.15 points (-0.12%).
BP names heads for two main businesses after revamp
BP is reorganising its business into two core units, upstream and downstream. Gordon Birrell will lead the upstream operations, while Richard Harding takes charge of downstream on an interim basis. This strategic shift aims to simplify operations and refocus on oil and gas. Renewable energy investments will be scaled back.
Gold slumps most in two months as jobs fuel Fed rate-hike bets
Bullion declined as much as 3.4% as bond yields and the dollar climbed after the latest US data showed job growth topped all forecasts in May. The strength in the labour market keeps the door open for Fed officials to hike rates as Middle East tensions fuel higher energy prices.
INR appreciates under Rs 95 per dollar after RBI announces measures to support foreign capital inflows and strengthen forex liquidity
The Indian rupee appreciated 81 paise to close at 94.93 (provisional) against the US dollar on Friday after the Reserve Bank announced measures to support foreign capital inflows and strengthen forex liquidity. The announcements in the RBI policy boosted investor sentiments after the apex bank asserted that the country's forex reserves provide a sufficient buffer against external shocks. The Reserve Bank on Friday expectedly kept interest rates unchanged for the second time in a row as it weighed the impact of rising energy prices and supply disruptions caused by the West Asia crisis. The RBI kept its repo rate Steady at 5.25% amid uncertainty owing to US-Iran War. However, it expanded the Fully Accessible Route, or FAR, to include all new 15-year, 30-year and 40-year government security issuances. Due to this, the foreign investors will get wider access to longer-tenor Indian government bonds. This also opens up more room to invest in Indias bond market. The central bank has also ...
INR regains momentum with all eyes on RBI monetary policy
The Indian rupee is regaining some momentum in opening trades on Friday as the global crude oil prices eased and market participants keenly awaited the RBI's MPC decision today. Heightened geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran drove energy volatility and aggressive safe-haven buying capped sharp gains in the local unit. INR opened at Rs 95.72 per dollar and hit a high of 95.63 so far during the day. Yesterday, rupee depreciated 7 paise to close at 95.83 against the US dollar. Local markets opened in the green with investors closely watching the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) monetary policy announcement scheduled for today. The Indian benchmark indices are trading higher today, with the NIFTY 50 hovering around 23,442.30 (+0.11%) and the S&P BSE SENSEX trading at 74,556.68 (+0.26%).
INR settles lower as prolonged West Asia crisis poses a major risk for India; RBI eyed
The Indian rupee depreciated 7 paise to close at 95.83 (provisional) against the US dollar on Thursday, as heightened geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran drove energy volatility and aggressive safe-haven buying. The prolonged West Asia crisis poses a major risk for India, which relies heavily on energy imports. Market participants are now turning their attention to the Reserve Bank of India's MPC rate decision on June 5, as inflation, growth and the rupee are under focus. The six-member MPC, headed by RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra, will announce its decision on June 5. Indian equity benchmarks ended flat but resilient today, recovering from early intraday losses. The NSE Nifty 50 closed marginally higher by 10.95 points (0.05%) at 23,416.55, while the BSE Sensex inched up 13.84 points (0.02%) to finish at 74,360.01. The primary catalysts for the market recovery were breaking news of potential tax concessions for foreign institutional investors (FIIs) and tentative signs of ..
Stock-market investors go all out on an energy-hungry India - The Ken
Stock-market investors go all out on an energy-hungry IndiaThe Ken