Market News
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Trump's threats could disrupt global oil supply chains, warns Geosphere Capital's Arvind Sanger
Rising crude prices reflect concerns over supply risks, especially around the Strait of Hormuz. US President Donald Trump has signalled possible escalation targeting energy infrastructure if no deal is reached. Analysts say the conflict lacks a clear end point, raising the risk of prolonged impact on global oil supply and markets.
Fed to stay cautious on rate cuts with inflation still in focus, says William Lee
William Lee, Chief Economist and MD at Global Economic Advisors, says markets are grappling with repeated supply shocks—from Covid to wars—yet global growth, especially in the US, has remained resilient. However, rising uncertainty and energy disruptions risk diverting capital into safer assets such as treasuries, thereby hindering long-term growth. He notes political pressure in the US may push for a quicker resolution, while the Fed is likely to prioritise inflation control over rate cuts.
Iran war going beyond four weeks from now could trigger global recession: Neelkanth Mishra
Neelkanth Mishra, Head of Global Research at Axis Capital and Chief Economist at Axis Bank, says the Iran conflict is a major macro risk for India given its heavy dependence on energy imports. A prolonged disruption could wipe out around 7% of global energy supply and raise the risk of a global recession if it lasts beyond four weeks. While the impact on growth, inflation and currency may be one-time, supply shocks and second-order effects could worsen. Markets may need to panic before a resolution emerges. Axis Bank stock was trading at ₹1,221 at 9:37 am on the NSE, up over 16% in the past year.
India plans ₹1,000 crore war-risk insurance fund as Hormuz crisis disrupts trade
India is exploring a dedicated fund to back insurers offering war-risk cover for ships. This move aims to ensure trade continuity through conflict zones like the Strait of Hormuz. Global reinsurers have withdrawn, making coverage difficult. The proposed facility, potentially similar to a past pool, would provide government backing to domestic insurers.
India plans ₹1,000 crore war-risk insurance fund as Hormuz crisis disrupts trade
India is exploring a dedicated fund to back insurers offering war-risk cover for ships. This move aims to ensure trade continuity through conflict zones like the Strait of Hormuz. Global reinsurers have withdrawn, making coverage difficult. The proposed facility, potentially similar to a past pool, would provide government backing to domestic insurers.
Vinit Sambre positive on insurance, private banks; favors IT firms on skilling and capital disciplin
Vinit Sambre, Head of Equities, DSP Mutual Fund, which manages funds worth $24.30 billion for the period of October-December 2025, said recent market volatility has brought valuations to more reasonable levels, with macro indicators like credit growth and auto sales still improving. He expects growth to recover after near-term disruptions and sees opportunities emerging in IT and BFSI. While uncertainty remains due to global risks, he suggests gradual equity allocation, maintaining a balanced approach with diversified funds and selective deployment as clarity improves.
SBI MF buys 4% in Urban Company via bulk deals; Wellington, others pare stake
SBI Mutual Fund acquired a 4% stake in Urban Company for ₹632 crore through bulk deals, while existing investors including Wellington and DF International Partners pared holdings in the company.
Volatility may persist, but this is a time to accumulate: Bay Capital
Nikunj Doshi, Managing Partner & CIO-PMS at Bay Capital Investments Advisors, says rising crude prices and global uncertainty are key risks, but markets tend to recover over time. He advises gradual accumulation during corrections, with a long-term positive view on India. He prefers domestic-focused sectors like consumption, financials, NBFCs and digital tech, while cautioning that near-term outlook remains uncertain due to potential second-order economic impacts.
Too early to call market bottom; prefer gradual investing via SIPs and funds: Anand Shah
Anand Shah of ICICI Prudential AMC, which manages funds worth ₹28,318 crore as of February 28, 2026, advises investors to avoid deploying cash aggressively as markets may not have bottomed yet. He recommends gradual allocation through SIPs or staggered investments, using a mix of ETFs and mutual funds rather than direct stock picking. Amid inflation, rising energy prices, and global shifts, Shah prefers value over growth and asset-heavy businesses. Commodity producers may benefit, while consumers like autos could face pressure.
PhonePe delays IPO plans amid market volatility: Report
According to media reports, the company has temporarily deferred its public market listing amid rising uncertainty in global markets following the conflict in West Asia. The report said PhonePe may restart the IPO process once conditions in capital markets stabilise.
PhonePe defers IPO plans amid geopolitical tensions and market volatility
PhonePe said it will resume the listing process once stability returns to global capital markets.
Too early to see shift from equities to FDs: Federal Bank CEO KVS Manian
Speaking to CNBC-TV18 on the sidelines of the 21st India Business Leader Awards, KVS Manian, MD and CEO of Federal Bank, said it is too early to see investors moving money from equities back to fixed deposits. A Balasubramanian, MD and CEO of Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC, added that mutual fund investors continue to see healthy three- and five-year returns, helping keep inflows steady despite recent market volatility.