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INR rebounds well from historic lows as oil retreats from elevated levels; geopolitical risk and oil price sensitivity to cap upside
The Indian rupee rebounded 49 paise from its all-time closing low to settle at 96.37 against the US dollar on Thursday after crude oil prices retreated from elevated levels amid signs of easing geopolitical friction, alongside likely central bank intervention. Rupee had gained after the recent geopolitical developments, but investors are still gauging the geopolitical risk and oil price sensitivity in the background. The one-year forward market rate for the rupee touched the crucial 100/USD mark on Wednesday, indicating that currency markets are pricing in a weakening bias for the USD/INR pair over the next 12 months. Meanwhile, The Nifty 50 settled at 23,654.70 (down 4.30 points or 0.02%), while the BSE Sensex closed at 75,183.36 (down 135.03 points or 0.18%). The dollar index rose above 99.2 on Thursday, approaching again April-highs, as markets continued to track developments in the Middle East.

Stock Market Outlook Next Week (18-22 May 2026): Sensex, Nifty Likely to Stay Volatile Amid Crude Oil Surge - Goodreturns
Stock Market Outlook Next Week (18-22 May 2026): Sensex, Nifty Likely to Stay Volatile Amid Crude Oil SurgeGoodreturns
US-Iran war, crude oil prices to Q4 results FY26: Top five triggers that may dictate the Indian stock market this week - MSN
US-Iran war, crude oil prices to Q4 results FY26: Top five triggers that may dictate the Indian stock market this weekMSNStock markets likely to stay volatile this week amid US-Iran tensions, crude oil concernsThe Times of IndiaSensex Today | Nifty 50 | Stock Market Highlights: Sensex ends 516 pts lower, Nifty below 24,200; HDFC Ba...The Economic TimesSensex today | Stock Market Highlights: Benchmark indices end lower; Sensex drops 516 pts to 77,328, Nifty closes at 24,176 amid West Asia tensionsBusinessLineIndian stock market: How are Sensex and Nifty 50 likely to perform next week amid US-Iran war uncertainty?MSNStock Market Live Updates: NSE Nifty50 closes below 24,200, BSE Sensex down over 500 points; Dalal Street ends week in red as crude oil prices rise on renewed US-Iran tensionsThe Times of IndiaNifty 50, Sensex prediction today: Check how Indian stock market is expected to trade on 8 MayMint
Ruchit Jain of Motilal Oswal suggests Granules India, Nippon Life, and SRF shares to buy for the short term
The Nifty 50 and Sensex increased on May 6, supported by a government credit guarantee scheme for businesses. Investor sentiment improved due to positive earnings reports and falling oil prices, suggesting resilience in markets despite recent challenges.

Trade Setup for May 4: Nifty set for first hurdle at 24,300 amidst oil volatility, earnings reports
Over the past six sessions, the Nifty has consolidated within a narrow 538-point band, with 24,300 acting as a strong resistance and 23,800 providing firm support. A decisive breakout on either side is likely to determine the next directional move.
Will Sensex, Nifty extend losses on Monday? Iran war peace talks, 4 factors to dictate Dalal Street next week
Crude oil futures fell sharply on Friday from 4-year highs after Iran signalled a proposal to resume negotiations with the U.S., though prices remained on track for weekly gains as Tehran continued to block the Strait of Hormuz and the U.S. Navy maintained restrictions on Iranian crude exports.

Nifty 50 slips below 24,000: What are the key levels to watch for next week?
On April 30, Indian stock indices fell nearly 1% due to rising crude oil prices and foreign fund exits. The Nifty 50 and Sensex closed at 23,997.55 and 76,913.50, respectively. Despite this, both indices showed weekly gains, breaking previous losing streaks.
GIFT Nifty rises 200 points, hints at a positive start for Dalal Street next week
Indian stocks might open higher next week. GIFT Nifty showed a strong rise Friday morning. Investors are watching oil prices and global events. The market faced a sharp selloff recently. Foreign investors have been selling shares. Geojit Investments notes global sentiment has worsened due to US-Iran tensions. Sunny Agrawal highlights key economic data to track.

Trade Setup for April 30: Nifty upmove faces rising oil prices test as 24,300 remains a barrier
Markets are now likely to track domestic political developments, with exit polls following the second phase of state elections due later in the day. These cues, along with the final results next week, could keep sentiment volatile.
Can oil prices above $90-100 over next few months pull Nifty 50 to 20,000 levels? What experts say - Mint
Can oil prices above $90-100 over next few months pull Nifty 50 to 20,000 levels? What experts sayMint
Can oil prices above $90-100 over next few months pull Nifty 50 to 20,000 levels? What experts say
As the Indian stock markets have moved from earnings-driven to oil-driven trading in the near term, analysts expect higher-for-longer prices to drive another 8-10% correction in Sensex and Nifty 50.

Nifty 50 can crash to 21,000 if crude oil prices remain around $100 for next 3-4 months amid US-Iran war: Seshadri Sen
Seshadri Sen of Emkay Global cautions that Nifty 50 could crash to 21,000 if oil prices remain above $100 for 3-4 months. However, he expects the situation to reverse once crude oil prices moderate to around $70 per barrel.