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Oil may hit $180, market can fall 10% if Strait of Hormuz stays shut for 10 more days: Demeter
Ashwini Agarwal, Founder & Partner at Demeter Advisors, told CNBC-TV18 that if the Strait of Hormuz remains shut for another 10 days, crude oil prices could surge to around $180 per barrel and global markets, including India, may fall about 10%. He said this is a low-probability scenario but investors should remain mentally prepared for such risks as tensions in West Asia continue to impact global energy supply and financial markets. Once tensions ease, financial stocks could lead the market recovery as they have been among the hardest hit but are less directly affected by the Middle East conflict.
Vedanta chairman Anil Agarwal pushes for unlocking domestic natural resource potential amid West Asia crisis
Highlighting how global conflicts can directly impact countries dependent on imports, Agarwal said India must reduce its reliance on overseas resources and build self-sufficiency by enabling domestic production.
Market View | 8–10% correction likely from here, says Ambit’s Dhiraj Agarwal
Ambit Investment Managers’ Managing Director Dhiraj Agarwal says emerging markets are in a risk-off phase due to Middle East tensions, a stronger dollar and rising crude prices. India, highly dependent on oil imports, is particularly vulnerable. He sees a very high probability of a 10% market correction, with a deeper 15–20% fall possible if crude stays elevated. Agarwal remains cautious on IT due to AI disruption and expects consumer staples to face long-term valuation derating.
Buzzing Stocks: Rajesh Exports slips 5% on SEBI ban; Agarwal Industrial jumps 20% on order win
Agarwal Industrial Corporation secured an order worth Rs 477.5 crore from Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd (HPCL).