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INR settles lower as global crude oil prices stay elevated amid Middle East turmoil
The Indian rupee depreciated 15 paise to close at 95.34 (provisional) against the US dollar on Tuesday, as global crude oil prices jumped and the American currency remained firm amid massive safe-haven inflows. Significant foreign fund outflows also weighed on the investor sentiments. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 95.16 against the US dollar, then touched an intraday high of 95.03 and a low of 95.37. Indian shares closed higher on Tuesday, staging a rebound after four days of losses as investors assessed mixed signals over the status of U.S.-Iran peace talks and awaited upcoming RBI rate decision. The Nifty 50 gained 100.95 points (0.43%) to close at 23,483.55, while the Sensex rose 382.50 points (0.52%) to settle at 74,649.84.
US-Iran talks, RBI's rate decision likely to steer markets this week
Developments around the USIran situation, crude oil prices, and the RBI's interest rate decision would determine the trend in the equity market in an event-heavy week ahead, analysts said. Besides, macroeconomic data announcements, trading activity of foreign investors and the rupee-dollar trend would act as key drivers for equities, they noted. "Participants will closely monitor global developments surrounding the USIran situation and movement in crude oil prices, which continue to remain critical for inflation expectations, currency stability, and foreign flows," Ajit Mishra SVP, Research, Religare Broking Ltd, said. The final HSBC Manufacturing PMI reading for May will be announced on Monday, followed by the Services PMI and Composite PMI data on Wednesday. These indicators will provide important insights into demand trends, business activity, and growth resilience across sectors, he said. "The key event of the week will be the RBI monetary policy announcement on Friday," Mishr
RBI should avoid aggressive rate hikes as high crude threatens growth, says Axis AMC’s Devang Shah
Devang Shah, Head of Fixed Income at Axis AMC believes sharply tighter financial conditions could hurt growth and worsen economic stress. He expects the central bank to adopt a calibrated approach through gradual rate hikes and measures to attract dollar inflows, while warning that prolonged crude prices above $100 could continue to pressure India’s macroeconomic outlook and the rupee.
NZ dollar climbs as RBNZ indicates need to increase OCR sooner and by more than envisaged
The New Zealand dollar firmed up on Wednesday after the central bank left OCR rates unchanged and signaled possibility of further rate hikes in futures. The OCR will most likely need to increase sooner and by more than envisaged in the February Monetary Policy Statement, RBNZ said in the statement. The pace of OCR increases will depend on the relative influence of persistent wage- and price-setting behaviour versus weaker economic activity on medium-term inflation pressures, it further noted. The Committee remains focused on ensuring that increased costs do not lead to elevated inflation over the medium term, while avoiding unnecessary economic volatility. The central bank also noted that New Zealands trading partners are expected to see weaker growth and higher inflation as global economic backdrop remains uncertain. Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept its official cash rate unchanged at 2.25% as expected. New Zealand dollar climbed 0.70% to around $0.587 this morning.
Diamonds in the dust? Retail investors unleash Rs 17,500 crore on 8 battered bluechip stocks
Retail investors pumped an estimated Rs 17,539 crore into eight battered Nifty bluechip stocks during the March 2026 quarter, betting aggressively on market leaders despite steep declines in portfolio values. HDFC Bank, ITC, Wipro, Infosys, TCS, Reliance Industries and L&T emerged as top retail picks even as their shares fell sharply.
INR rebounds well from historic lows as oil retreats from elevated levels; geopolitical risk and oil price sensitivity to cap upside
The Indian rupee rebounded 49 paise from its all-time closing low to settle at 96.37 against the US dollar on Thursday after crude oil prices retreated from elevated levels amid signs of easing geopolitical friction, alongside likely central bank intervention. Rupee had gained after the recent geopolitical developments, but investors are still gauging the geopolitical risk and oil price sensitivity in the background. The one-year forward market rate for the rupee touched the crucial 100/USD mark on Wednesday, indicating that currency markets are pricing in a weakening bias for the USD/INR pair over the next 12 months. Meanwhile, The Nifty 50 settled at 23,654.70 (down 4.30 points or 0.02%), while the BSE Sensex closed at 75,183.36 (down 135.03 points or 0.18%). The dollar index rose above 99.2 on Thursday, approaching again April-highs, as markets continued to track developments in the Middle East.
Nifty to hit 42,000 by 2028? New paper that studied market cycles says it's possible if these factors align
A CNI InfoXchange study projects the Nifty could surpass 42,000 by 2028 if sustained foreign investor inflows return. The report highlights stronger domestic liquidity, resilient equity markets, robust GDP growth prospects, rising retail participation, and India’s increasing weight in global emerging market indices.
India's retail car sales hit record in April, but Mideast crisis clouds outlook
Indian car sales reached an all-time high in April. Passenger vehicle sales saw a significant jump. This growth was driven by rate cuts, easier financing, and strong demand from rural areas. However, concerns about Middle East tensions and rising fuel prices may affect demand in the coming months. Dealers are monitoring inventory levels and urging caution from manufacturers.
Raja Venkatraman, MarketSmith recommend five stocks for 4 May
After a dip in late April, Indian markets may start positively on May 4, driven by a favourable Gift Nifty. Analysts recommend buying stocks such as Syngene International and DCM Shriram, highlighting their growth potential despite recent market volatility.
Exclusive: Life insurers see uneven growth as some lag, others outperform in FY26
Life insurers reported mixed retail APE trends for FY26, with industry growth at around 12%, according to CNBC-TV18 sources. While HDFC Life and ICICI Prudential missed guidance, Axis Max Life and SBI Life met or exceeded expectations.
EV retail sales in India up 24.6% at 24.52 lakh units in FY26: FADA
India's leap into the future of transport was evident in FY26, as electric vehicle sales skyrocketed to 24.52 lakh units, a noteworthy increase of 24.6 percent. The two-wheeler segment alone accounted for over 14 lakh units, underscoring consumer enthusiasm. Meanwhile, electric passenger vehicles surged with an impressive growth rate of 83.63 percent.
Vinay Rajani of HDFC Sec suggests GE Shipping, Arvind shares to buy for short-term
On April 6, Nifty 50 and Sensex fell, continuing a trend of losses amid concerns over Middle East tensions. Nifty 50 dropped 0.47% to 22,606.1, while Sensex fell 0.59% to 72,886.6. Eleven out of sixteen sectors reported losses, with small-cap down 0.3%.