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'Rate action unlikely in FY27; if any, it could be a rise,' say economists
Indian markets expect a prolonged pause in policy rates. Economists foresee no immediate tightening as higher global energy prices have a limited impact. The Reserve Bank of India is likely to maintain rates through FY27. While most anticipate a pause, a rate hike is considered more probable than a cut if the Iran conflict persists and affects growth.
Motilal Oswal sees 6% Q4 earnings growth for Nifty 50 amid Iran-US tensions
Motilal Oswal forecasts Nifty 50 companies to achieve 6% YoY earnings growth in Q4 FY26, driven by financials, metals, and telecom, despite the oil and gas crisis. The brokerage anticipates softer overall growth due to the Iran-Israel-US conflict's impact on energy prices and supply chains.
Market Trading Guide: Buy ACME Solar and Ather Energy on Friday for gains up to 14%
Nifty tumbled amid surging crude oil prices and the Fed’s cautious rate outlook, with technical indicators signaling bearish momentum. Analysts warn of further downside below 23,000, while select stocks like ACME Solar and Ather Energy show bullish breakout potential.
Fed to stay cautious on rate cuts with inflation still in focus, says William Lee
William Lee, Chief Economist and MD at Global Economic Advisors, says markets are grappling with repeated supply shocks—from Covid to wars—yet global growth, especially in the US, has remained resilient. However, rising uncertainty and energy disruptions risk diverting capital into safer assets such as treasuries, thereby hindering long-term growth. He notes political pressure in the US may push for a quicker resolution, while the Fed is likely to prioritise inflation control over rate cuts.
Too early to call market bottom; prefer gradual investing via SIPs and funds: Anand Shah
Anand Shah of ICICI Prudential AMC, which manages funds worth ₹28,318 crore as of February 28, 2026, advises investors to avoid deploying cash aggressively as markets may not have bottomed yet. He recommends gradual allocation through SIPs or staggered investments, using a mix of ETFs and mutual funds rather than direct stock picking. Amid inflation, rising energy prices, and global shifts, Shah prefers value over growth and asset-heavy businesses. Commodity producers may benefit, while consumers like autos could face pressure.
Global Market: Energy market turmoil forces policymakers to reassess inflation outlook
Global financial markets are shaken by the Middle East war. Energy prices are soaring, reviving inflation fears. Central banks worldwide are meeting to decide their next moves. Policymakers face a tough challenge balancing economic growth with rising inflation. Investors are watching closely for signals on future interest rate policies.
US-Iran war, high crude oil prices could shave off as much as 4% from Nifty earnings: Somil Mehta, Mirae Asset Sharekhan
Expert view: Higher energy costs increase input expenses for several sectors, which could pressure margins and reduce overall earnings growth across companies in the Nifty index, said Somil Mehta, Mirae Asset Sharekhan.
India's coal production likely to grow 6-7% annually over next few years: Kishan Reddy
India is on the verge of a coal production boom, with forecasts suggesting an impressive surge to 1.5 billion tonnes by 2029-30. This ambitious growth plan is designed to satisfy the country's soaring energy demands. Domestic coal output is projected to grow at a rate of 6-7 percent yearly, decreasing the need for foreign coal imports.
Market correction a chance to rebalance portfolios, India may outperform from April: Quant MF
Sandeep Tandon, Founder & CIO of Quant Mutual Fund, says crude’s sharp spike may peak near $120–130 and remain elevated in the near term but is unlikely to sustain beyond a few months. He expects global markets to stay weak through 2026, while India could outperform from April after recent underperformance. Tandon advises investors to stay calm and use volatility to rebalance portfolios, adding selectively to sectors such aspharma, power, telecom, and select PSUs.
Watch | Sanjay Parekh on where he sees value in banks, IT, cement and telecom stocks
Sohum Asset Managers’ Founder & CIO, Sanjay Parekh, says markets look sluggish despite improving macro conditions, with Q3 Nifty earnings near 8–9%. He sees recovery in CVs (Ashok Leyland), credit growth at ICICI Bank and gradual picka a up in cement and steel. Portfolio stays domestic-focused: overweight telecom, NBFCs, industrials, cement, utilities, ports and logistics; underweight oil & gas and banks, zero FMCG. Watching IT names like Infosys and TCS, mid-cap tech (Persistent, Coforge, Mastek), defence HAL, quick commerce Zomato and Swiggy, and capital goods L&T, JSW Energy.
This mutual fund expert sees strong growth potential in midcap stocks
Sandeep Bagla of TRUST Mutual Fund sees strong growth potential in Indian midcap equities, driven by economic expansion, policy support, and sectors like technology, consumption, and energy.
RBI notes overall demand conditions remain upbeat, electricity demand sustains robust growth
Reserve Bank of India (RBI) stated in its latest monthly update that economic activity continued to be resilient in January, as evidenced by high-frequency indicators of energy consumption, digital payments, trade and logistics. E-way bills continued to exhibit double- digit growth supported by GST rate rationalisation. Electricity demand sustained its robust growth, primarily due to higher demand on account of the cold wave conditions across northern and eastern regions of the country, as well as from sustained industrial activity. GST revenue growth held steady. Petroleum consumption growth remained resilient, notwithstanding the deceleration. Digital payments registered steady growth in both transaction value and volume. Toll collections in January continued with the declining trend, observed post the introduction of the FASTag Annual Pass scheme in August 2025.