Market News
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FPIs beat mutual funds by rupee returns despite $27 billion exodus
Despite record outflow of $27 bn or ₹2.4 trillion, foreign portfolio investors' totted a rupee return on assets of 7.7% against MFs' 4.4%, thanks to Nifty outperforming broader markets last year. In dollar terms though their returns lag those of MFs.
Largecaps offer safety, midcaps provide growth: Axis AMC’s R Sivakumar
R Sivakumar, Chief Investment Officer at Axis Asset Management, believes the weakness in India's economy is cyclical and not structural. He expects growth to improve as the impact of past fiscal tightening and interest rate hikes fades. Sivakumar said retail investors have shown remarkable discipline by continuing SIPs and increasing investments during market corrections. He also advocated a balanced approach to investing, saying largecaps provide valuation comfort while midcaps continue to benefit from stronger earnings growth.
Tier-2, 3 cities to deepen retail investing ecosystem: Angel One Group CEO
Angel One Group CEO Ambarish Kenghe discusses market volatility, India's long-term growth story, AI-led investing, retail participation, and tapping tier-2/3 cities for the next 100 mn investors
INR depreciates further to one-week low as oil stays elevated amid Middle East turmoil
The Indian rupee depreciated further in opening trades on Wednesday as oil prices stay elevated, driving fears of inflationary pressures in future. INR opened at Rs 95.43 per dollar and hit a low of 95.65 so far during the day. Yesterday, rupee fell 15 paise to close at 95.34 against the US dollar, as global crude oil prices jumped and the American currency remained firm amid massive safe-haven inflows. Significant foreign fund outflows also weighed on the investor sentiments. Local equities continue to stay strained in early trades with BSE Sensex trading at 73,866.45, down by 783.39 points and NSE Nifty 50 trading at 23,247.90, down by 235.65 points.
INR settles lower as global crude oil prices stay elevated amid Middle East turmoil
The Indian rupee depreciated 15 paise to close at 95.34 (provisional) against the US dollar on Tuesday, as global crude oil prices jumped and the American currency remained firm amid massive safe-haven inflows. Significant foreign fund outflows also weighed on the investor sentiments. At the interbank foreign exchange market, the rupee opened at 95.16 against the US dollar, then touched an intraday high of 95.03 and a low of 95.37. Indian shares closed higher on Tuesday, staging a rebound after four days of losses as investors assessed mixed signals over the status of U.S.-Iran peace talks and awaited upcoming RBI rate decision. The Nifty 50 gained 100.95 points (0.43%) to close at 23,483.55, while the Sensex rose 382.50 points (0.52%) to settle at 74,649.84.
US-Iran talks, RBI's rate decision likely to steer markets this week
Developments around the USIran situation, crude oil prices, and the RBI's interest rate decision would determine the trend in the equity market in an event-heavy week ahead, analysts said. Besides, macroeconomic data announcements, trading activity of foreign investors and the rupee-dollar trend would act as key drivers for equities, they noted. "Participants will closely monitor global developments surrounding the USIran situation and movement in crude oil prices, which continue to remain critical for inflation expectations, currency stability, and foreign flows," Ajit Mishra SVP, Research, Religare Broking Ltd, said. The final HSBC Manufacturing PMI reading for May will be announced on Monday, followed by the Services PMI and Composite PMI data on Wednesday. These indicators will provide important insights into demand trends, business activity, and growth resilience across sectors, he said. "The key event of the week will be the RBI monetary policy announcement on Friday," Mishr
PB Fintech sees Rs 665 crore block deal as founders pare stake; Goldman among other top funds buy
PB Fintech founders Yashish Dahiya and Alok Bansal sold 38 lakh shares worth Rs 665 crore in a block deal. The shares were purchased by various institutional investors, including Goldman Sachs and Tata Mutual Fund, following the company's recent performance.
US Dollar near one-week high as US-Iran tensions flare, yen nears intervention zone
Dollar holds near one week high after US strikes in Iran, yen weakens toward prior intervention level, markets eye Fed core PCE data and possible BOJ rate hike. The dollar index was steady at 99.288, near its highest level since May 22.
RBI should avoid aggressive rate hikes as high crude threatens growth, says Axis AMC’s Devang Shah
Devang Shah, Head of Fixed Income at Axis AMC believes sharply tighter financial conditions could hurt growth and worsen economic stress. He expects the central bank to adopt a calibrated approach through gradual rate hikes and measures to attract dollar inflows, while warning that prolonged crude prices above $100 could continue to pressure India’s macroeconomic outlook and the rupee.
NZ dollar climbs as RBNZ indicates need to increase OCR sooner and by more than envisaged
The New Zealand dollar firmed up on Wednesday after the central bank left OCR rates unchanged and signaled possibility of further rate hikes in futures. The OCR will most likely need to increase sooner and by more than envisaged in the February Monetary Policy Statement, RBNZ said in the statement. The pace of OCR increases will depend on the relative influence of persistent wage- and price-setting behaviour versus weaker economic activity on medium-term inflation pressures, it further noted. The Committee remains focused on ensuring that increased costs do not lead to elevated inflation over the medium term, while avoiding unnecessary economic volatility. The central bank also noted that New Zealands trading partners are expected to see weaker growth and higher inflation as global economic backdrop remains uncertain. Reserve Bank of New Zealand kept its official cash rate unchanged at 2.25% as expected. New Zealand dollar climbed 0.70% to around $0.587 this morning.
RBI should start rate hike cycle as inflation risks rise, says Bandhan MF’s Suyash Choudhary
Average inflation forecasts are likely to move higher, and the RBI should begin the rate hike cycle to maintain its credibility as an inflation-focused central bank, according to Suyash Choudhary, CIO-Fixed Income at Bandhan Mutual Fund. However, he believes rate hikes alone may not immediately solve the problem. He said the RBI must avoid mixed messaging to prevent market uncertainty and added that a favourable mix of global factors — including lower oil prices, better foreign inflows, and a weaker dollar — could help improve the situation.
INR rebounds well from historic lows as oil retreats from elevated levels; geopolitical risk and oil price sensitivity to cap upside
The Indian rupee rebounded 49 paise from its all-time closing low to settle at 96.37 against the US dollar on Thursday after crude oil prices retreated from elevated levels amid signs of easing geopolitical friction, alongside likely central bank intervention. Rupee had gained after the recent geopolitical developments, but investors are still gauging the geopolitical risk and oil price sensitivity in the background. The one-year forward market rate for the rupee touched the crucial 100/USD mark on Wednesday, indicating that currency markets are pricing in a weakening bias for the USD/INR pair over the next 12 months. Meanwhile, The Nifty 50 settled at 23,654.70 (down 4.30 points or 0.02%), while the BSE Sensex closed at 75,183.36 (down 135.03 points or 0.18%). The dollar index rose above 99.2 on Thursday, approaching again April-highs, as markets continued to track developments in the Middle East.