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RBI should start rate hike cycle as inflation risks rise, says Bandhan MF’s Suyash Choudhary
Average inflation forecasts are likely to move higher, and the RBI should begin the rate hike cycle to maintain its credibility as an inflation-focused central bank, according to Suyash Choudhary, CIO-Fixed Income at Bandhan Mutual Fund. However, he believes rate hikes alone may not immediately solve the problem. He said the RBI must avoid mixed messaging to prevent market uncertainty and added that a favourable mix of global factors — including lower oil prices, better foreign inflows, and a weaker dollar — could help improve the situation.
INR regains ground as oil prices retreat
The Indian rupee regained further ground in opening trades on Monday tracking sharp pullback in international oil prices and weakness in greenback overseas. Improving risk sentiments amid expectation of US and Iran peace deal is waning demand for the safe haven asset. The dollar index is seen trading under 99 mark at 98.98. Washington and Tehran have reportedly signaled progress in talks to end the war, even as US President Donald Trump said he wont rush into an agreement. INR opened at Rs 95.36 per dollar and hit a high of 95.20 so far during the day. Yesterday, the counter settled at 95.60. The BSE Sensex is trading at 76,302.90, surging by 887.55 points (1.18%), and the NSE Nifty 50 is at 23,962.35, climbing 243.05 points (1.02%) as of mid-morning. The markets rallied sharply following eased geopolitical tensions and dropping crude oil prices. .
INR rebounds well from historic lows as oil retreats from elevated levels; geopolitical risk and oil price sensitivity to cap upside
The Indian rupee rebounded 49 paise from its all-time closing low to settle at 96.37 against the US dollar on Thursday after crude oil prices retreated from elevated levels amid signs of easing geopolitical friction, alongside likely central bank intervention. Rupee had gained after the recent geopolitical developments, but investors are still gauging the geopolitical risk and oil price sensitivity in the background. The one-year forward market rate for the rupee touched the crucial 100/USD mark on Wednesday, indicating that currency markets are pricing in a weakening bias for the USD/INR pair over the next 12 months. Meanwhile, The Nifty 50 settled at 23,654.70 (down 4.30 points or 0.02%), while the BSE Sensex closed at 75,183.36 (down 135.03 points or 0.18%). The dollar index rose above 99.2 on Thursday, approaching again April-highs, as markets continued to track developments in the Middle East.
RBC BlueBay Adds to Yen Longs on Intervention, BOJ Rate View
RBC BlueBay Asset Management added to long yen positions this week as the currency drifted back toward 160 per dollar, viewing the level as increasingly attractive amid possible intervention and expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike in June.
Gold loans rise 50% to Rs 19 lakh crore in FY26
Gold jewellery loans have seen a massive 50 percent jump year-on-year, reaching ₹19 lakh crore. This makes it the fastest growing retail loan category. The surge is driven by rising gold prices and a shift in borrowing habits. This growth has boosted the overall retail loan market. Asset quality has also improved with declining delinquency levels across most segments.
Sowilo’s Sandip Agarwal sees 6–7% dollar revenue growth in IT services over next 2–3 years
Sandip Agarwal Fund Manager at Sowilo Investment Managers which manages assets worth nearly $20.44 million as of April 30, 2026, makes a case for Indian IT stocks despite global uncertainty. He points to rupee weakness, a 40–50% valuation correction, and the early stages of an AI-driven services cycle as key reasons to buy. He expects 75% earnings growth over three years and favours large and midcap traditional IT services over expensive ER&D names. Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on CNBCTV18.com are their own and not that of the website or its management. CNBCTV18.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.
Retail SIP boom boosts AMC outlook; Nippon, ICICI Pru lead pack: Siddhartha Khemka
India's asset management sector is transforming with systematic investing driving growth and stability, reducing reliance on volatile discretionary capital. SIP inflows have surged, now forming a significant portion of mutual fund assets, indicating a shift towards predictable, annuity-like revenue streams. This structural change positions the industry for sustained, retail-led expansion.
PSBs tap liquidity buffer to meet strong loan demand
Public sector banks in India are seeing their liquidity coverage ratios decline. This trend is driven by strong loan demand outpacing retail deposit growth. Banks are using their excess liquidity to fund loans. This situation is expected to improve with new regulatory norms starting in Q1 FY27. The changes will impact how certain business accounts are treated for liquidity calculations.
Nifty to hit 42,000 by 2028? New paper that studied market cycles says it's possible if these factors align
A CNI InfoXchange study projects the Nifty could surpass 42,000 by 2028 if sustained foreign investor inflows return. The report highlights stronger domestic liquidity, resilient equity markets, robust GDP growth prospects, rising retail participation, and India’s increasing weight in global emerging market indices.
SBI’s CS Setty expects margins above 3%, sees up to 15% loan growth backed by ₹5 lakh crore pipeline
SBI Chairman CS Setty said the bank remains comfortable on margins, liquidity and asset quality despite pressure from lower rates, while strong demand across retail and corporate segments is expected to support double-digit loan growth in FY27.
BSE wants more participation and products, not just a bigger market share, says CEO
Sundararaman Ramamurthy believes India’s mutual fund penetration remains low relative to the country’s population, leaving significant room for growth as financial awareness and retail participation continue to rise.
Taiwan’s $286 billion pension fund trims its US dollar exposure as volatility rises
Taiwan Bureau of Labour Funds trims US dollar asset exposure amid global de-dollarization concerns, while still seeing dollar strength, and pushes managers to deepen presence in Taiwan