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'Rate action unlikely in FY27; if any, it could be a rise,' say economists
Indian markets expect a prolonged pause in policy rates. Economists foresee no immediate tightening as higher global energy prices have a limited impact. The Reserve Bank of India is likely to maintain rates through FY27. While most anticipate a pause, a rate hike is considered more probable than a cut if the Iran conflict persists and affects growth.
Correction in NBFCs, IT and realty offers entry as earnings stay steady: Anupam Tiwari
Anupam Tiwari, Head of Equity at Groww Mutual Fund, expects a strong current quarter with limited impact from oil shocks so far, but flags risks from the next quarter onward. He remains positive on premium consumption, NBFCs, manufacturing exports and capex, while adding IT and premium real estate after corrections. He believes market fears may be overstated, with much of the downside already priced in.
Motilal Oswal sees 6% Q4 earnings growth for Nifty 50 amid Iran-US tensions
Motilal Oswal forecasts Nifty 50 companies to achieve 6% YoY earnings growth in Q4 FY26, driven by financials, metals, and telecom, despite the oil and gas crisis. The brokerage anticipates softer overall growth due to the Iran-Israel-US conflict's impact on energy prices and supply chains.
Market Trading Guide: Buy ACME Solar and Ather Energy on Friday for gains up to 14%
Nifty tumbled amid surging crude oil prices and the Fed’s cautious rate outlook, with technical indicators signaling bearish momentum. Analysts warn of further downside below 23,000, while select stocks like ACME Solar and Ather Energy show bullish breakout potential.
Fed to stay cautious on rate cuts with inflation still in focus, says William Lee
William Lee, Chief Economist and MD at Global Economic Advisors, says markets are grappling with repeated supply shocks—from Covid to wars—yet global growth, especially in the US, has remained resilient. However, rising uncertainty and energy disruptions risk diverting capital into safer assets such as treasuries, thereby hindering long-term growth. He notes political pressure in the US may push for a quicker resolution, while the Fed is likely to prioritise inflation control over rate cuts.
Too early to call market bottom; prefer gradual investing via SIPs and funds: Anand Shah
Anand Shah of ICICI Prudential AMC, which manages funds worth ₹28,318 crore as of February 28, 2026, advises investors to avoid deploying cash aggressively as markets may not have bottomed yet. He recommends gradual allocation through SIPs or staggered investments, using a mix of ETFs and mutual funds rather than direct stock picking. Amid inflation, rising energy prices, and global shifts, Shah prefers value over growth and asset-heavy businesses. Commodity producers may benefit, while consumers like autos could face pressure.
Global Market: Energy market turmoil forces policymakers to reassess inflation outlook
Global financial markets are shaken by the Middle East war. Energy prices are soaring, reviving inflation fears. Central banks worldwide are meeting to decide their next moves. Policymakers face a tough challenge balancing economic growth with rising inflation. Investors are watching closely for signals on future interest rate policies.
US-Iran war, high crude oil prices could shave off as much as 4% from Nifty earnings: Somil Mehta, Mirae Asset Sharekhan
Expert view: Higher energy costs increase input expenses for several sectors, which could pressure margins and reduce overall earnings growth across companies in the Nifty index, said Somil Mehta, Mirae Asset Sharekhan.
India's coal production likely to grow 6-7% annually over next few years: Kishan Reddy
India is on the verge of a coal production boom, with forecasts suggesting an impressive surge to 1.5 billion tonnes by 2029-30. This ambitious growth plan is designed to satisfy the country's soaring energy demands. Domestic coal output is projected to grow at a rate of 6-7 percent yearly, decreasing the need for foreign coal imports.
India’s MF industry could hit ₹800 lakh crore in 10 years: Raamdeo Agrawal
India’s mutual fund industry could grow ten-fold in the next decade, reaching ₹600–800 lakh crore in AUM, up from the current ₹80 lakh crore, predicts Raamdeo Agrawal.
Watch | Sanjay Parekh on where he sees value in banks, IT, cement and telecom stocks
Sohum Asset Managers’ Founder & CIO, Sanjay Parekh, says markets look sluggish despite improving macro conditions, with Q3 Nifty earnings near 8–9%. He sees recovery in CVs (Ashok Leyland), credit growth at ICICI Bank and gradual picka a up in cement and steel. Portfolio stays domestic-focused: overweight telecom, NBFCs, industrials, cement, utilities, ports and logistics; underweight oil & gas and banks, zero FMCG. Watching IT names like Infosys and TCS, mid-cap tech (Persistent, Coforge, Mastek), defence HAL, quick commerce Zomato and Swiggy, and capital goods L&T, JSW Energy.
25 stocks that survived AI crash reveal what themes could work within Indian IT space
Indian IT stocks experienced a significant downturn due to AI concerns, with the Nifty IT index falling 21% in February. However, 25 select stocks defied the slump, showing positive returns by focusing on AI infrastructure, integration, and specialized engineering, indicating potential future growth themes for the sector.