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INR rebounds well from historic lows as oil retreats from elevated levels; geopolitical risk and oil price sensitivity to cap upside
The Indian rupee rebounded 49 paise from its all-time closing low to settle at 96.37 against the US dollar on Thursday after crude oil prices retreated from elevated levels amid signs of easing geopolitical friction, alongside likely central bank intervention. Rupee had gained after the recent geopolitical developments, but investors are still gauging the geopolitical risk and oil price sensitivity in the background. The one-year forward market rate for the rupee touched the crucial 100/USD mark on Wednesday, indicating that currency markets are pricing in a weakening bias for the USD/INR pair over the next 12 months. Meanwhile, The Nifty 50 settled at 23,654.70 (down 4.30 points or 0.02%), while the BSE Sensex closed at 75,183.36 (down 135.03 points or 0.18%). The dollar index rose above 99.2 on Thursday, approaching again April-highs, as markets continued to track developments in the Middle East.
Market wrap: Sensex slips 1% from intraday high, Nifty closes near 23,650 as bond yields rise
Indian stock markets closed lower on Thursday. The Sensex and Nifty slipped from intraday highs due to expiry day volatility. Rising bond yields and foreign institutional investor selling also impacted trading. Despite some intraday recovery, markets ended in negative territory. Geopolitical issues and crude oil prices are key factors to watch.

Stocks to buy: Nagaraj Shetti recommends Sumitomo, Samvardhana Motherson shares to buy
The Indian stock market rose on 21 May amid falling crude oil prices and optimism over US-Iran negotiations. The Nifty 50 rose to 23,715 with potential for further upside above 23,850. Key stocks are showing bullish trends amidst overall market volatility.
Stock market rebounds: Sensex recovers 790 points from day’s low, Nifty closes above 23,650
Indian stock markets staged a strong recovery, erasing morning losses. The Sensex and Nifty closed higher as oil prices dropped below $110 per barrel. Bond yields also eased from record highs. Investor sentiment improved broadly across market segments. The Indian Rupee, however, hit a fresh record low against the US dollar. Foreign investors resumed selling Indian equities.
INR edges closer to a critical 97/$ threshold
The Indian rupee is seen in deep distress as the counter is moving towards breaking yet another key historic mark in opening trades on Wednesday. INR opened at Rs 96.89 per dollar and hit a low of 96.95 so far during the day. Yesterday, rupee slipped to a record low of 96.60 against the US dollar before settling at 96.52, weighed down by soaring crude oil prices, persistent foreign capital outflows, and a resilient dollar buoyed by global risk-aversion. The rupee is turning to be Asia's worst-performing currency in 2026. The currency has depreciated 1.5 per cent this month and more than 7 per cent so far this year. Rupee remains vulnerable to rising crude oil prices and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, the Indian equity benchmarks surrendered their early morning gains in a highly volatile trading session to settle marginally lower due to late profit-booking. The BSE Sensex declined 114.19 points (0.15%) to close at 75,200.85, while the NSE Nifty 50 slipped 31.95 points
INR collapses to new historic lows driven by global conflicts and energy spikes
The Indian rupee slipped to a record low of 96.60 against the US dollar before settling at 96.52 (provisional) on Tuesday, weighed down by soaring crude oil prices, persistent foreign capital outflows, and a resilient dollar buoyed by global risk-aversion. The rupee is Asia's worst-performing currency in 2026, having tumbled to a historic intraday low of 96.60 against the US dollar. The currency has depreciated 1.5 per cent this month and more than 7 per cent so far this year. Rupee remains vulnerable to rising crude oil prices and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. Meanwhile, the Indian equity benchmarks surrendered their early morning gains in a highly volatile trading session to settle marginally lower due to late profit-booking. The BSE Sensex declined 114.19 points (0.15%) to close at 75,200.85, while the NSE Nifty 50 slipped 31.95 points (0.14%) to finish at 23,618.00.
Why Emkay is seeing Nifty at 29,000 by March 2027 despite oil shock, West Asia tensions
Emkay Global maintains a bullish outlook on Indian equities, projecting the Nifty could reach 29,000 by March 2027, driven by strong domestic growth, earnings recovery and policy support. The brokerage expects markets to navigate near-term volatility from geopolitical tensions & high crude prices. It also warns of macro risks from elevated oil but sees long-term structural growth in Indian equities intact.

Julius Baer keeps India allocation low amid AI, oil concerns
Julius Baer Global CIO Yves Bonzon says AI infrastructure spending by US hyperscalers is the single most important number to watch in markets, and that the upcoming wave of major US IPOs will be a key test of market appetite. He calls India a small, anti-AI and anti-oil allocation for now, warns of risks from the West Asia war, and says the memory chip trade underpinning Korea's rally remains fundamentally intact despite short-term volatility.
Positive cues from GIFT Nifty point to higher opening for D-Street
Markets are expected to remain event-driven with persistent volatility due to elevated crude oil prices, a weakening rupee, rising bond yields, and inflationary concerns. Despite resilient domestic earnings, investors are wary of the second-order impacts on inflation and the RBI's policy. The India VIX rose to 19.63, indicating market fear.
INR slumps to fresh record lows amid rising oil prices fuelled by ongoing geopolitical tensions
The Indian rupee weakened further and closed at a record low of 96.35 (provisional) against the US dollar on Monday, pressured by rising crude oil prices on the back of ongoing geopolitical tensions and a strong dollar. During the day, the counter hit a low of 96.39. The global market sentiments continue to dampen amid simmering tensions between the US and Iran. Moreover, emerging market economies, including India, continue to feel the pressure of rising crude oil prices, as elevated rates increase the outflows of US dollars, along with the outflows already happening due to FPIs. Meanwhile, Indian shares ended little changed on Monday, after having suffered heavy losses earlier in the session on rising Middle East tensions and economic concerns. The benchmark BSE Sensex rebounded over 1,100 points from the day's lows before closing 77.05 points, or 0.10 percent, higher at 75,315.04.The NSE Nifty index also fell up to 1.3 percent in early trading before recovering to close up 6.45 ...
Market Trading Guide: 2 stock ideas for Monday with up to 8% near-term gains
Nifty ended lower on Friday, breaking a two-session winning streak as banking, metal and realty stocks dragged the index below the 23,800 zone. Analysts see a bearish setup with resistance at key EMAs and support near 23,500. Amid volatility, two technical stock picks, Kirloskar Oil and Wheels India, signal short-term upside potential of up to 8% with defined stop losses.

Top Gainers & Losers on May 15: HUDCO, Muthoot Finance, Voltas, IOCL, Vedanta, HAL, Aditya Infotech among top losers
On May 15, Indian markets declined, with Nifty down 0.18% and Sensex down 0.25%. Selling in financial and metal stocks offset IT sector gains. The rupee hit a record low of 96.5 against the dollar, influenced by foreign investor withdrawals and rising crude oil prices.