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Indian stock market: Nifty 50 set to snap its 4-month losing streak in April, but don't expect a sustained rally ahead
The Indian stock market shows signs of recovery, with Nifty 50 up over 8% in April, but experts warn that external factors, particularly elevated crude oil prices and geopolitical tensions, could hinder sustained growth.
Sensex dives 850 pts, Nifty slips below 24,200 amid oil shock and weak global cues
The equity benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty tumbled on Thursday, extending losses for a second straight session. Firm crude oil prices and ongoing geopolitical tensions rattled sentiment. Brent crude surged for the fourth consecutive day to around $103 per barrel amid uncertainty over US-Iran talks and fresh concerns around the Strait of Hormuz. Weak Asian cues and persistent foreign fund outflows deepened the sell-off. The Nifty slipped below the 24,200 mark, dragged by auto, PSU banks and consumer durables stocks, while pharma and healthcare shares saw selective buying. Investors stayed cautious, closely tracking the ongoing Q4 earnings season for further triggers.
Quant MF finds value in insurance, wealth after correction; avoids oil plays
Sandeep Tandon, Founder & CIO of Quant Mutual Fund, expects Indian equities to see consolidation in the near term before resuming an upward move, with a shift toward stock-specific opportunities.
PPFAS Portfolio Churn: Rajeev Thakkar-led fund house laps up large-cap banks, sells these two RIL group stocks in March
PPFAS Mutual Fund increased its holdings in HDFC Bank amid market volatility, while offloading Reliance Group stocks worth ₹730 crore. Check key portfolio changes in March.
Oil prices to settle at $75-80 in 2 months, Nifty to touch 29K by March 2027, says Emkay. Here’s why
Emkay Global Financial Services expects crude oil to stabilise at $75–80 within two months and sees the Nifty 50 hitting 29,000 by March 2027. A potential Iran–US peace deal, easing energy pressures and steady earnings growth are seen driving a rebound in Indian equities despite near-term macro headwinds.
Will rising crude oil prices reverse the trend of earnings upgrades for Nifty 50?
Brokerages warn of earnings downgrades due to surging crude and gas prices driven by geopolitical tensions. The Nifty 50's significant decline in March signals economic concerns, as earnings growth expectations for FY26 and FY27 have been revised downward across sectors.
Correction in NBFCs, IT and realty offers entry as earnings stay steady: Anupam Tiwari
Anupam Tiwari, Head of Equity at Groww Mutual Fund, expects a strong current quarter with limited impact from oil shocks so far, but flags risks from the next quarter onward. He remains positive on premium consumption, NBFCs, manufacturing exports and capex, while adding IT and premium real estate after corrections. He believes market fears may be overstated, with much of the downside already priced in.
Motilal Oswal sees 6% Q4 earnings growth for Nifty 50 amid Iran-US tensions
Motilal Oswal forecasts Nifty 50 companies to achieve 6% YoY earnings growth in Q4 FY26, driven by financials, metals, and telecom, despite the oil and gas crisis. The brokerage anticipates softer overall growth due to the Iran-Israel-US conflict's impact on energy prices and supply chains.
BofA Securities cuts Nifty earnings target to 8.5%, says market not in value zone
BofA Securities has significantly lowered its earnings growth forecast for Nifty 50 companies to 8.5% for FY27, citing rising stagflation risks and potential impact of high crude oil prices. The brokerage also reduced India's GDP growth estimate and warned of a severe downturn in a worst-case scenario. Despite this, a resolution to the Iran conflict could boost the market.
Where are the Indian markets headed? Here's a bull case Vs bear case scenario
Brokerages remain divided on India’s market outlook amid global uncertainties. Jefferies, ICICI Prudential AMC and 3P Investment Managers are positive on India, driven by improved valuations, limited earnings downside and supportive domestic flows. They highlight attractive Nifty valuations, favourable allocation signals and recent market correction as key reasons to increase exposure, with a preference for sectors like banks and pharma and a gradual approach to adding equities. On the other hand, Nomura, Goldman Sachs and UBS remain cautious, citing rising oil prices, weak foreign flows and global risks that could weigh on growth and market returns in the near term.
SBI, Canara Bank, BoB to PNB: PSU bank stocks rise up to 5% following stock market rebound
The Nifty PSU Bank index rose nearly 4% on March 20, reversing a previous 3% decline. Broader market gains and easing crude oil prices boosted sentiment. Key banks like Canara Bank and Union Bank saw significant increases, with all constituents trading positively.
Nifty Bank logs 3rd-worst March fall since the global financial crisis. HDFC Bank, SBI among top culprits
Nifty Bank posted its third-worst March in two decades, falling around 12%, with PSU and private banks under pressure. Heavy FII outflows, global macro headwinds, rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions have intensified the correction. Major constituents like HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank have significantly dragged the index lower.