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Fed may still cut rates if labour market weakens despite oil shock: Citi
Drew Pettit, Director-US Equity Strategy, ETF Analysis & Strategy Research at Citi, says the bullish case for US equities remains intact as secular growth trends continue to support earnings, with Citi’s street-high $320 EPS estimate possibly conservative. However, sustained high interest rates and elevated oil prices could challenge valuations. Citi believes the Fed may still cut rates if labour markets weaken. In a bear scenario, earnings could fall to $300. He adds India remains neutral amid valuation concerns.
Stock Market Cras͏h: Sensex Fa͏lls 8͏29 Points, Nifty Sl͏ips 0.͏95%͏ A͏s Crude Oil Surges Above $100 - HDFC Sky
Stock Market Cras͏h: Sensex Fa͏lls 8͏29 Points, Nifty Sl͏ips 0.͏95%͏ A͏s Crude Oil Surges Above $100HDFC Sky
US-Iran war, high crude oil prices could shave off as much as 4% from Nifty earnings: Somil Mehta, Mirae Asset Sharekhan
Expert view: Higher energy costs increase input expenses for several sectors, which could pressure margins and reduce overall earnings growth across companies in the Nifty index, said Somil Mehta, Mirae Asset Sharekhan.
Goldman Sachs sees Nifty at 29,300 in the next 12 months
Goldman Sachs Chief Global Strategist Peter Oppenheimer says strong earnings growth and a supportive domestic macro environment could support Indian markets although geopolitical tensions and rising oil prices may create short-term volatility. While high valuations globally might cause market corrections, he does not expect a prolonged bear market.
India's coal production likely to grow 6-7% annually over next few years: Kishan Reddy
India is on the verge of a coal production boom, with forecasts suggesting an impressive surge to 1.5 billion tonnes by 2029-30. This ambitious growth plan is designed to satisfy the country's soaring energy demands. Domestic coal output is projected to grow at a rate of 6-7 percent yearly, decreasing the need for foreign coal imports.
Markets in ‘fear phase’, deploy money in autos, banks, capital goods: AlfAccurate’s Rajesh Kothari
The sharp correction in Indian equities triggered by fears of a prolonged war in West Asia should be viewed as a buying opportunity, according to Rajesh Kothari, Managing Director at AlfAccurate Advisors.Benchmark indices declined nearly 3% this week — their steepest weekly fall in over a year — as rising crude oil prices and geopolitical tensions rattled investor sentiment. Financial stocks led the decline, with the Nifty Bank logging its biggest weekly drop in 14 months.However, Kothari believes the selloff reflects sentiment rather than a deterioration in underlying economic fundamentals.“We are currently in a fearful phase of the market. When others are fearful, that’s usually the time to be greedy,” Kothari told CNBC-TV18, advising investors to deploy money gradually over the next 30–60 days rather than attempting to time the market.He emphasised that the outcome of the West Asia conflict is less important for markets than its duration. While companies with exposure to the Middle East could face short-term uncertainty, the broader domestic growth story remains intact.Against this backdrop, Kothari highlighted four sectors that investors should focus on.Autos remain a key bet, supported by strong demand trends and low inventory levels across the industry. February sales data was robust, and leading automakers have reported healthy growth, signalling sustained momentum.Banking and financials are another preferred sector. Credit growth has improved to around 13% from about 8.5% earlier, while asset quality remains strong. According to Kothari, the sector could become a “strong buy on declines” if crude-driven inflation concerns ease.He also sees opportunities in capital goods, particularly companies reporting strong order inflows as India’s investment cycle picks up.Lastly, hospitals stand out as a defensive play. The sector remains largely insulated from geopolitical risks and technological disruptions such as artificial intelligence.“These are strong India stori
War shocks rattle D-Street. Will a quick recovery follow, like in the past?
Nifty has slipped as the US-Israel conflict with Iran escalates, reigniting crude worries and reviving FPI selling. History shows markets rebound quickly from geopolitical shocks. But with oil near $80 and growth priced in, this crisis could test that resilience.
Vinay Rajani of HDFC Sec suggests HDFC Gold ETF, Oil India shares to buy in the near-term
The Indian stock market fell significantly on March 2, with the Sensex down 2,743 points and the Nifty 50 plummeting over 500 points due to geopolitical tensions and foreign capital withdrawals, resulting in a loss of ₹8 lakh crore in market capitalization.
Watch | Sanjay Parekh on where he sees value in banks, IT, cement and telecom stocks
Sohum Asset Managers’ Founder & CIO, Sanjay Parekh, says markets look sluggish despite improving macro conditions, with Q3 Nifty earnings near 8–9%. He sees recovery in CVs (Ashok Leyland), credit growth at ICICI Bank and gradual picka a up in cement and steel. Portfolio stays domestic-focused: overweight telecom, NBFCs, industrials, cement, utilities, ports and logistics; underweight oil & gas and banks, zero FMCG. Watching IT names like Infosys and TCS, mid-cap tech (Persistent, Coforge, Mastek), defence HAL, quick commerce Zomato and Swiggy, and capital goods L&T, JSW Energy.
India's core sector grows at 4% in Jan-26, Steel and Cement production surges
The combined Index of Eight Core Industries (ICI) increased by 4.0 per cent (provisional) in January, 2026 as compared to the Index in January, 2025. Growth has eased from a revised 4.7% in December. The production of Cement, Steel, Electricity, Fertilizer and Coal recorded positive growth in January, 2026. The Eight Core Industries comprise 40.27 percent of the weight of items included in the Index of Industrial Production (IIP). The final growth rate of Index of Eight Core Industries for December 2025 was observed at 4.7 per cent. The cumulative growth rate of ICI during April to January, 2025-26 is 2.8 per cent (provisional) as compared to the corresponding period of last year.
INR tumbles near three-week low amid surging international oil prices, firm dollar overseas
The Indian rupee plunged 31 paise to settle at 90.99 (provisional) against the US dollar on Friday, tracking a strong American currency against major currencies and higher crude oil prices amid intensifying US-Iran tensions. Positive momentum in domestic equity markets failed to support the Indian unit. Indian shares bounced back on Friday after falling sharply in the previous session on rising geopolitical tensions and uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's rate path. The benchmark BSE Sensex jumped 316.57 points, or 0.38 percent, to 82,814.71. The broader NSE Nifty index surged 116.90 points, or 0.46 percent, to 25,571.25, with metal and banking stocks leading the surge.
Rs 7.5 lakh crore selloff! US-Iran war fears among 5 key triggers behind Sensex's 1,400-point intraday crash
Indian stock markets, Nifty and Sensex, experienced a sharp selloff on Thursday, wiping out Rs 7.55 lakh crore in investor wealth. This decline was driven by geopolitical tensions involving the US and Iran, uncertainty surrounding US Federal Reserve rate cuts, rising crude oil prices, and increased bond yields, alongside profit booking by investors.